Lab Seats SEAT Maj 2nd Lab Candidate 61 Niddrie - D.Brown 62 Craigmillar 1537 Kerr/Black (Was W. Black) 60 Gilmerton 1432 (snp) B. Lonie 35 Moat 651 (snp) B. Wilson 59 Inch 552 (snp) I. Campbell 20 Harbour 474 (snp) J. Hastie 42 Holyrood 434 (snp) R. Kerley 36 Stenhouse 419 (snp) J. Henderson 9 Granton 331 (snp) G. Monies 46 Milton 289 (con) V. Oliver (no snp) 19 Lorne 263 (con) M. Saren 33 Sighthill 227 (snp) J.McKay (now safer) 8 Muirhouse 193 (snp) McLaughlin 58 Kaimes 160 (con) Bjorg McKenzie 54 Firhill 159 (con) G. Barton 7 Pilton 5 (SNP HELD) A. Wood 37 Dalry 81 (SNP HELD) E. McKenzie 15 Telford V. Lindsay 28 Lochend R. Imrie 31 N. Hailes M. Lazarowitz These marginals should be held by labour 30 Craigentinny 487 (snp) L.Imrie (byelection) 27 Calton 86 (con) C. McKinnon 41 St. Giles 45 (con) B. Cairns 34 Longstone T. Fenton 39 Haymarket V. Woodward 12 Fort R. Dalgleish 32 S. Hailes N. Griffiths Total of 'expected' = 27 very marginal Seats, both new and CON 38 Shandon N. Hurley (Lib) 6 Parkgrove A. Mitchell 40 Tollcross S. Gilmore (Con) 14 NE Corstorphine 407? (Drumbrae - SNP) 29 Links 327 691 (lab) (snp=519) T. Nisbet 51 Prestonfield 293 776 (lab) (snp=696) S. Roonie 18 Inverleith 56 (lib) (no lab) F. Wood Total 7 New Seats, probably CON 25 New Town 575? (St. Andrews) 13 NW Corstorphine 940? J. Godfrey (Craigsbank) 26 Stockbridge 21 SW Corstorphine 22 SE Corstorphine 44 Mountcastle 741? (Jock's Lodge) Total 6 Current Con Seats 17 Broughton -263 274 (lab) (snp=671) S. Clark 13 Willowbrae -169 774 (lab) (snp=774) C. Somerville 11 Newhaven 79 (lab) K. Seaward 45 Portobello 327 866 (lab) (snp=772) W. Dundas 3 Balerno 454 288 (snp) (snp=1279) D. Lindsay 57 Alnwickhill 482 (lab) 48 Morningside 489 (lib) (lab:861!) 47 Merchiston 170 (lib) (lab:1300) 4 Baberton 821 (snp) (no lab) 1 Queensferry (IND) 514 (snp) (snp=829) (lab:1009) 50 Marchmont 719 (lib) (lab:1292) 49 Sciennes 850 (lib) (lab:1352) 52 Mayfield 1275 (lab) (no lib) 24 Dean 1469 5 Cramond 1457 16 Blackhall 1776 56 Fairmilehead 1782 (snp) (lab:2001) 23 Murrayfield 1686 (lib) 10 Trinity 1902 55 Braidburn 2003 53 Colinton 2179 Total 21 Total of 'expected' Seats = 27 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Minor Party Considerations SNP Held Seats 2 Kirkliston 472 A. Fraser Total 1 Lib Currently hold Polwarth (maj=309 ), seat redistributed Lib possibles 38 Shandon (Lab marginal) 21 SW Corstorphine (Con marginal) 47 Merchiston 170 " " 48 Morningside 489 " " 50 Marchmont 719 " " 49 Sciennes " " Possibilities:- 1) CON 27, LAB 27, SNP 1, + very marginal 7 or, if the libs do well 2) CON 25, LAB 26, LIB 3, SNP 1, + very marginal 7